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English
AutorIn 1:
Ioannidis, John P A
HerausgeberIn 1:
World Health Organization (WHO)
Titel:
Infection fatality rate of COVID-19 inferred from seroprevalence data
Ort:
Genf
Verlag:
World Health Organization (WHO)
Jahr:
2020
Reihe:
Bulletin of the World Health Organization; Type: Research Article ID: BLT.20.265892
Abstract:
The infection fatality rate, the probability of dying for a person who is infected, is one of the most important features of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The expected total mortality burden of COVID-19 is directly related to the infection fatality rate. Moreover, justification for various non- pharmacological public health interventions depends on the infection fatality rate. Some stringent interventions that potentially also result in more noticeable collateral harms may be considered appropriate, if the infection fatality rate is high. Conversely, the same measures may fall short of acceptable risk–benefit thresholds, if the infection fatality rate is low. Early data from China suggested a 3.4% case fatality rate and that asymptomatic infections were uncommon, thus the case fatality rate and infection fatality rate would be about the same. Mathematical models have suggested that 40–81% of the world population could be infected,4,5 and have lowered the infection fatality rate to 1.0% or 0.9%.5,6 Since March 2020, many studies have estimated the spread of the virus causing COVID-19 – severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) – in various locations by evaluating seroprevalence. I used the prevalence data from these studies to infer estimates of the COVID-19 infection fatality rate. (...)"
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URL:
 World Health Organization (WHO)